Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.577857 12.109460 13.799234 15.804155 18.121244 20.718669 23.856289
2025-09-21 8.441352 10.408915 12.755778 15.770182 19.552218 24.157128 30.214787
2025-09-28 7.111344 9.242855 11.930301 15.584287 20.449360 26.740751 35.552712
2025-10-05 6.437680 8.739365 11.777958 16.110321 22.173607 30.423856 42.613127
2025-10-12 5.882059 8.290028 11.597735 16.512379 23.696667 33.918725 49.750350
2025-10-19 5.485760 7.995866 11.569245 17.080272 25.461163 37.881588 57.968266
2025-10-26 4.884243 7.330323 10.922631 16.646577 25.658942 39.504118 62.770758
2025-11-02 4.430654 6.831911 10.461617 16.423466 26.120013 41.527036 68.371470
2025-11-09 4.051763 6.406654 10.063131 16.241723 26.601097 43.591639 74.223669
2025-11-16 3.714998 6.013315 9.672498 16.022103 26.976815 45.489051 79.961369
2025-11-23 3.400673 5.626000 9.252849 15.704918 27.139346 47.014565 85.175017
2025-11-30 3.304999 5.591882 9.409998 16.379295 29.079005 51.810105 96.870804
2025-12-07 3.128109 5.406992 9.300254 16.583790 30.215484 55.313061 106.625338
2025-12-14 2.928768 5.165308 9.069920 16.546590 30.898589 58.040764 115.192856
2025-12-21 2.725739 4.899024 8.771393 16.350957 31.253443 60.163683 122.772178
2025-12-28 2.647470 4.852755 8.866405 16.904547 33.109898 65.398796 137.421830
2026-01-04 2.556804 4.775013 8.894659 17.327705 34.742635 70.344005 152.052378
2026-01-11 2.493817 4.743998 9.007264 17.925457 36.786581 76.342108 169.747228
2026-01-18 2.311211 4.466170 8.619113 17.468953 36.571849 77.523542 176.628168
2026-01-25 2.169010 4.257167 8.349998 17.234123 36.806072 79.694871 186.075287
2026-02-01 2.042986 4.071010 8.111971 17.042841 37.114099 82.054265 196.255389
2026-02-08 1.922854 3.887867 7.865865 16.811704 37.308263 84.168830 206.088055
2026-02-15 1.802161 3.694720 7.584375 16.477902 37.234253 85.648341 214.495071